Atlético de Madrid will play this Wednesday at Stamford Bridge for the quarterfinal of the Champions League against Chelsea (9:00 p.m.). Cholo’s men have the most important game so far this season before them, and they will have to be very successful against a team quite similar to them. After the bad result of the first leg (0-1), the rojiblancos are forced to risk and go on the attack in search of at least one goal that equals the tie, a task that they brought pending from Bucharest and that does not seem to be going to work. easy.
Despite the last punctures against Getafe and Levante twice, Atleti remains the leader in LaLiga Santander ahead of Barça and Madrid. It is in Europe where their best version has not yet been seen and in London they will have a difficult time facing one of the fittest teams in all of Europe. Chelsea have improved noticeably and visibly since the arrival of Thomas Tuchel, who is still holding the blues undefeated (8V 4E) since he took the reins. The German coach has created a much more solid team: in his 12 games played, he has only conceded two goals against.
“The locals start with an advantage, but a highly disputed match is expected in which Cholo will change the approach of the first leg, since going back and not risking did not give him good results,” he analyzes Gonzalez challenges, renowned analyst of the sports digital platform Betsfy. “My forecast is that Atlético de Madrid will press and attack much more than in the first leg, so I would bet that the rojiblancos will shoot +8.5 shots throughout the game. The average of the colchoneros in the Champions League is 12.1 shots per game and, in turn, Chelsea concedes an average of 9.8 shots per game ”, explains the sports betting specialist, who has studied the previous statistics.
“Taking into account the situation in which both teams reach the second part of the tie and taking into account the numbers, the forecast invites to be tested. Atlético have to come back, or at least try, and for that they will have all their big names in their offensive field: Luís Suárez, Joao Félix, Correa, Carrasco, Llorente, etc. ”. To this must be added the significant casualties of Chelsea, among which Thiago Silva, Jorginho, Mount and Abraham stand out.
On the other hand, being such a short result and being two teams so even, the possibility of a hypothetical extension is not ruled out. “In that case, even if Atleti has not reached enough shots before overtime, our forecast would include those 30 more minutes of play, so the bet still has a bit more probability,” he clarifies. Gonzalez challenges.
In addition, “the shots do not have to go to the door, it would be worth it if they were deflected or even rejected by the defenders.” Under all these premises, Gonzalez challenges advise bet that the mattress team will shoot a minimum of nine times throughout the second leg.